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Ove Arup & Partners

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News about Ove Arup & Partners

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City fringe start

Soho scheme underway

Mixed use application in SE1

Victoria completion

Peak reaches peak

JP Morgan changes plans

Aldgate East underway

Progress at Holbrook House

Application for WC2 scheme

Midtown scheme tendering

Crown scheme for spring 2008

Consent for WC2 refurbishment

Crown appoint for W1 scheme

Quadrant scheme demolition

Crown Estate sets out plans

NIMBY old chap

460m high skyscraper proposed for Aldgate

Surge in London Office Development

London Office Prospects 2011: 75m sq ft of lease expiry hopes drives market forward

A surge in London office development is coming, with major office buildings planned to come on-stream in 2012-2015 to meet an anticipated increase in demand.

This demand is expected to come from those occupiers, which took space in the mid 1980’s boom and early 1990’s, with leases coming to an end on what is now outdated space.

Our research on occupier ‘moves’ in central London indicates a potential of up to 17m sq ft of lease renewals due in 2011, and an average of about 15m sq ft a year of lease expiries a year up to 2015.

The question is “How much of this lease expiry-led ‘demand’ will result in new space being taken-up?”

The London office market is fairly consistent on office space take-up with the average being about 10m sq ft a year over the last decade. In these terms 2010 was above average with over 11m sq ft of office space taken-up, the majority in large pre-lets.

If half of lease expiries (say 7.5m sq ft) each year actually turned into office ‘moves’, this would then mean a further 2.5m+ sq ft of office demand would have to come from existing occupier expansion and new ‘start-ups’ to achieve even the average for annual take-up.

This would then mean occupiers would be renewing leases on around 7.5m sq ft of office space each year with the potential for refurbishment deals. In addition the 7.5m sq ft (or possibly more) of office space vacated by ‘movers’ could be returned to building owners and would need to be upgraded for letting.

To meet the expected lease expiry-led office demand a substantial supply of new Grade A development is needed in 2011, which is not going to arrive. Those occupiers with imminent lease expiries will be unable to find prime new office space and will therefore postpone moves, increasingly turn to pre-lets, or remain ‘in-situ’ and refurbish.

In 2011 development starts will be numerous (30+ is possible) but take-up is expected to be down on 2010 levels and the majority deals are likely to be smaller, perhaps under 4,645 sq m (50,000 sq ft).

The ‘volume’ of deals done in late 2010, combined with about 46,450 sq m (500,000 sq ft) of office space now under offer, will carry the fit-out market through to summer 2011. The office market will then become one of refurbishment and restacking until a new wave of occupiers starts to take up the developments coming on-stream from late 2012 onwards.





- (01-02-2011)

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Exchange plans reclad

The London Stock Exchange has submitted plans to the Corporation of London for the development of its site at 125 Old Broad Street EC2. The Stock Exchange is to relocate to Paternoster Square in mid-2004 and is planning to sell its existing premises on gaining planning consent. The new plans, by architect Nicholas Grimshaw, include a major refurbishment and re-cladding of the late 1980's 27-storey Exchange Tower and the development and a new podium level of 3,031 sq m (32,625 sq ft) as part of the 'East' Building and a new nine-level block (The West Building), providing 23,958 sq m (257,883 sq ft) of offices, will be created on the site of the old trading floor on the corner of Old Broad Street and Throgmorton Avenue. The scheme will provide a total of 65,804 sq m (708,314 sq ft) of office space (gross external area) and also include 7,236 sq m (77,888 sq ft) (gea) of retail space. City Offices Management is the project manager and Ove Arup is the structures and services consultant. - (13-11-2002)

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British Land's new skyscraper

British Land has unveiled its plans for a skyscraper at 122 Leadenhall Street. The 48-storey tower will provide about 93,000 sq m (1,001,000 sq ft) of space and has been designed by the Richard Rogers Partnership. The initial designs envisage a tapering external frame structure, possibly a 'shard of steel', on 'legs' above a new public park. It is said that the building would be the tallest in the City of London. - (22-09-2002)

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Ove Arup decides on new headquarters

Ove Arup & Partners, the engineering consultancy, has finally decided on a new London headquarters after over 10 years of being a potential 'mover'. Ove Arup has a variety of buildings around Fitzroy Street in W1 and has taken a pre-let of 19,000 sq m (204,516 sq ft) of office space in a £44m scheme by London Merchant Securities. LMS intend to redevelop buildings in Howland Street and Fitzroy Street, part of its Cartwright Estate, in three phases, starting in 2001. LMS and Ove Arup are understood to have signed a partnership agreement on the refurbishment and redevelopment of 17,650 sq m (190,000 sq ft). Ove Arup already occupies many of the buildings on the site and will manage the project. - (25-11-2000)

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