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London’s next development cycle is now well underway with some 30 office schemes starting in the last six months, amounting to 510,962 sq m (5.5m sq ft) of new space coming on-stream.
Skyscrapers are topical again, and in this CityOffices newswire we look in detail at the unprecedented ‘clutch’ of new office towers (defined as 20+ storeys) nearing completion, underway and planned.
The last development cycle saw completion of the 37,160 sq m (398,000 sq ft), 34-storey Broadgate tower, EC2, now largely fully let; the 38,740 sq m (417,000 sq ft) 36-storey 125 Old Broad Street, EC2 has only 5,000 sq ft still available; the 55,091 sq m (593,000 sq ft), 36-storey Ropemaker Place, EC2, which is fully let; and the 25-storey, 30,750 sq m (331,000 sq ft) Drapers Gardens scheme in Throgmorton Avenue, EC2, which was pre-let.
All the above towers are in the City of London and interestingly there were no skyscrapers completed in Canary Wharf in the last cycle, or, less unusually, in the West End, Midtown or fringe. The almost-complete 59,921 sq m (645,000 sq ft), 46-storey Heron Tower in Bishopsgate, EC2, will end the tower building activity for the 2006-2011 property cycle.
The next cycle will see completion of the 75,901 sq m (817,000 sq ft), 80-storey, Shard, SE1 in 2012; the 63-storey, 111,482 sq m (1.2m sq ft) Pinnacle, EC2, in 2013; the 37-storey, 79,895 sq m (860,000 sq ft) 20 Fenchurch Street, EC3 (Walkie Talkie) and 47-storey, 67,075 sq m (722,000 sq ft) Leadenhall Building (Cheesegrater) both in 2014.
Schemes which are not yet under construction and may be completed in the next cycle are the 40-storey, 71,534 sq m (770,000 sq ft) 100 Bishopsgate, EC3, where a 2011 start is envisaged; the 22-storey, 27,870 sq m (300,000 sq ft), 60-70 St Mary Axe, EC3 (Can of Spam); and the 21-storey 93,440 sq m (1m sq ft) Aldgate Place, E1.
Elsewhere, a possible 20-storey plus scheme is being designed for Elizabeth House, and a 31-storey scheme for Kings Reach House, both in SE1. At Canary Wharf, the 2m sq ft redevelopment of Heron Quays is planned to include a 33-storey tower and there are still outstanding proposals for a 43-storey part office tower at Crossharbour; a 43-storey tower at Millharbour; and a 63-storey tower at the site formerly known as Columbus Tower in E14. In the West End, plans for the Victoria Interchange include a tower of up to 20-storeys.
The question is how successful are these new towers likely to be? The Gherkin (30 St Mary Axe) in EC3, has rapidly became a London icon, but 10-years ago, post 9/11, it was very slow to let, with over 50% still vacant on completion. Other high-rise buildings such as Centrepoint in the West End and 1 Canada Square at Canary Wharf were slow to let in the early days. Despite these examples developers seem keener than ever to build towers.
In total some 315,868 sq m (3.4m sq ft) of office space is under construction in five office towers, but still available, with a further 260,126 sq m (2.8m sq ft) in towers that could start in 2011 or 2012. These are big numbers, however, to put it in context, the City of London saw lettings of new unoccupied office space of 260,126 sq m (2.8m sq ft) in 2010, so a single year’s take-up could almost fill them. The five towers will be completed over a four-year period, during which they will currently face limited competition from newly completed, large, low-rise schemes in the City.
Experience from completed towers such as Broadgate Tower, 125 Old Broad Street and Ropemaker Place shows that the majority of lettings tend to be signed-up after the development has been completed. In general, only a small proportion of a tower’s floorspace is pre-let before completion. However, the experience of the recent letting of 17,744 sq m (191,000 sq ft) to Aon at the Leadenhall Building may indicate a more active pre-let market than previously for the new London towers.
An analysis of the occupiers of recently completed towers shows that the major share (51%) is taken-up by financial services with professional services (including law), in second place (23%). With the just two sectors accounting for 74% of deals done it is no wonder that these are the main targets for developers and their agents.
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An unusual ‘bulge’ of lease expiry and breaks due in the period 2013-15 has partly contributed to developers enthusiasm in starting new schemes in the last few months; and in-turn this has led to developers with refurbishment schemes to also leap into competitive starts to achieve completion before the towers come on-stream.
The future of the next generation of towers will depend on attitude of the 200 medium to large office occupiers in the City of London now actively looking for space, or with lease expiries due in the next four years. If occupiers show the same enthusiasm for high-rise working as those firms moving in the previous office cycle, then the new towers coming to the London skyline will succeed. it will just take a little time.
Andy King
Director
CityOffices.net
- (20-05-2011)
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British Land has agreed a 10-year development plan with the London Borough of Southwark on a 16ha (40-acres) site at Canada Water in London, SE16. Britsih land and Canada Quays are planning to develop about 9,290 sq m (100,000 sq ft) of office space as well as retail and leisure space and 2,000 homes and community facilities. A detailed planning application could be made in summer 2005 and a start on site made in 2006. - (23-02-2005)
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Morgan Stanley is said to be looking for further equity backing to raise its bid for Canary Wharf and could have approached the government of Qatar, British Land and Liberty International. Morgan Stanley could be looking for an extra £200m for it’s bidding vehicle ‘Silvestor’ to raise its offer from 275p to over 292p and try to beat Brascan, which last week matched Morgan Stanley’s latest offer. The 14m sq ft Docklands office complex is now being valued at £1.6bn. The bids by Paul Riechmann, the former chairman of Canary Wharf collapsed two weeks ago and Brascan, the Canadian property and power company, is now thought to have the support of shareholders controlling over 24 per cent of the Canary Wharf shares. - (15-02-2004)
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Canary Wharf Group has set a deadline of 13th February for Branscon, the Canadian property company, and Paul Reichman to make fully funded offers for the Docklands complex. The deadline is expected to clarify the position of the rival bidders to shareholders ahead of an extrodinary meeting on 23rd February, which is to vote on a recommended £1.56bn offer from a Morgan Stanley-led consortium. Recently Canary Wharf secured a £1.1bn investment deal with Royal Bank of Scotland on 5 Canada Square, let to CSFB, and 25 Canada Square, let to Citigroup. - (12-01-2004)
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Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, the rival US investment banks, are said to be making a joint attempt to take control of the Canary Wharf development. The Whitehall Fund, part of Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley Real Estate fund are bidding against Brascan, the Canadian property group. Last week canary Wharf received sealed offers for the company. Property analysts are expecting offers of between 260p to 300p a share, putting a value on the company of around £1.5 billion. - (31-08-2003)
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Canary Wharf Group, the London docklands developer, is said to have been approached by “a number of parties” to take the company private. On the news shares in the company rose 46% to 263p, valuing the company at £1.54m. The company has formed an independent committee to deal with any potential bids and analyse other options. Morgan Stanley Real Estate, British Land, Land Securities, and Brascan Corporation of Canada are rumoured to be interested in buying the portfolio. In the Sunday papers price indications from prospective bidders are reported to be around 270p, at the lower end of range predicted by analysts. - (08-06-2003)
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Canary Wharf Group has issued £875m of bonds in a deal that will securitise three buildings under construction at the Docklands complex. The bonds are secured on the rents from the two pre-let towers being built for Citigroup and Credit Suisse First Boston and Morgan Stanley Dean Witter. The deal adds the three buildings to a securitised portfolio that also includes One Canada Square, from which the company raised about £555m in 1997 and £385m in 2000.
- (02-06-2001)
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The new towers for HSBC, designed by Foster & Partners, and Citigroup, designed by Cesar Pelli, at Canary Wharf, London E14 were topped-out yesterday. The towers will be about 100ft shorter than One Canada Square, the 50-storey skyscraper, which remains the tallest office building in the UK. Citigroup will move to its new building at 25 Canada Square (DS5 building) in September this year and HSBC to 8 Canada Square (DS2 building) in February 2002. - (08-03-2001)
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Credit Suisse First Boston has agreed Heads of Terms to lease a further 46,451 sq m (500,000 sq ft) of office space at 5 Canada Square (site DS1) Canary Wharf, London E14. DS1 is currently under construction and the architect of the 14-storey tower is Skidmore Owings & Merrill (SOM). The new office space is due to be due for occupation in spring 2002. The leasing of building will mean that CSFB has 1.8m sq ft at Canary Wharf in seven buildings. In 1999 Bovis Interiors carried out the fitting out work for CSFB at its Columbus Courtyard office. Once CSFB has signed a binding agreement on the Canada Square building the pre-let will prompt the speculative construction of HQ3, a 32-storey tower, designed by Cesar Pelli, that will provide 55,741 sq m (600,000 sq ft) of office space. - (09-11-2000)
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